After a minor hiccup, the bitcoin price is looking to resume its rally with a 3.37-percent surge this Sunday.
The BTC/USD instrument was trading at $5,179, according to price average calculated by CoinMarket.com at 0910 UTC. Earlier on Friday, the pair had corrected lower to test $4,849 as potential support. The area saw buying orders outrunning the selling ones, indicating that a majority of investors were in no mood to exit the bitcoin rally on an interim session profit. On the contrary, they were speculating on an extended bull run – just like the one that took place on April 2 and 3.
Bitcoin Acculumation Period Near
Josh Rager, a cryptocurrency analyst with close to 29.4k followers, said the bitcoin price was going to trend as high as $150,000 by the end of July 2023. The trader studied the cryptocurrency’s earlier peak cycles, formed between 2014 and 2017 and each testing a new higher high. He later applied time-and-gains economics to predict the next potential peak, which resulted in $150,000.
Rager also defined levels that bitcoin would need to break to establish a long-term bullish momentum. It would, of course, happen when traders would feel comfortable in accumulating bitcoins upon a particular stage. Rager identified such buying sentiments by using two metrics: the 100-weekly moving average and the 200-weekly moving average. He stated:
“[In the] previous bear market, Bitcoin accumulated under the 100 MA & supported by the 200 MA. Similar accumulation could happen with 200 MA with the next uptrend starting after breaking above 100 MA. One possible scenario to observe [the] next few months.”
$BTC Accumulation W Chart
Previous bear market Bitcoin accumulated under the 100 MA & supported by the 200 MA
Similar accumulation could happen with 200 MA (wick below) with the next uptrend starting after breaking above 100 MA
One possible scenario to observe next few months pic.twitter.com/BHZ3YN6kHZ
— Josh Rager (@Josh_Rager) April 6, 2019
A Sharp Pullback
Rager’s comments followed when the bitcoin price had already jumped its 100-weekly moving average resistance. On the whole, the market appeared inclined towards $6,000 as their near-term target. Before the Bitcoin Cash hard fork spoiled the party, the bitcoin price was comfortably trending above the said level – and was even called the bottom by many crypto bigwigs, including Fundstrat’s Thomas Lee and Galaxy Digital’s Mike Novogratz.
It became likely for bitcoin bulls to reclaim $6,000 to reinject confidence in the market. At the same time, a mere rejection at the said level held power to push bitcoin back below where it is trading at press time.
Twitterati Crypto Michaël, a full-time trader at Amsterdam Stock Exchange, said bitcoin upside could face rejection in the near-term, leading to a drop. However, he supported Rager’s bullish views in the long-term, just differing with him when it came to the point of accumulation.
“Up to $6,000 to touch resistance briefly and then back down for new support (probably $4,200 – that’s why I don’t expect $4,200 to be tested now) and then this is most likely same yeah.”
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